From 9b05c7573f4c8514cd3699b186de62f4fdb1f541 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Denese Torpy Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2025 10:58:44 +0800 Subject: [PATCH] =?UTF-8?q?Add=20'Tech=E2=80=99s=20most=20Dubious=20Promis?= =?UTF-8?q?es,=20from=20Bill=20Gates=20To=20Elon=20Musk'?= MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit --- ...t-Dubious-Promises%2C-from-Bill-Gates-To-Elon-Musk.md | 9 +++++++++ 1 file changed, 9 insertions(+) create mode 100644 Tech%E2%80%99s-most-Dubious-Promises%2C-from-Bill-Gates-To-Elon-Musk.md diff --git a/Tech%E2%80%99s-most-Dubious-Promises%2C-from-Bill-Gates-To-Elon-Musk.md b/Tech%E2%80%99s-most-Dubious-Promises%2C-from-Bill-Gates-To-Elon-Musk.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..576eb42 --- /dev/null +++ b/Tech%E2%80%99s-most-Dubious-Promises%2C-from-Bill-Gates-To-Elon-Musk.md @@ -0,0 +1,9 @@ +
Last week, Elon Musk dashed off 125 characters saying a remarkably formidable plan to ship Amtrak to an early grave. "Just acquired verbal govt approval for The Boring Company to construct an underground NY-Phil-Balt-DC Hyperloop. NY-DC in 29 mins," he proclaimed in a tweet. Ricki Harris is Backchannel’s editorial fellow. Sign up to get Backchannel's weekly e-newsletter. Yet something about this explicit moonshot seemed off. To start with, "verbal authorities approval," as politicos noted, doesn’t actually exist. Receiving precise approval for a multibillion-dollar nationwide transportation system would require fairly just a few things: a stamp of approval from the Department of Transportation, agreements from and between the local governments for all cities involved, a plan for navigating rules, permits, and, last but not actually not least, the money. We should also mention that-oh, yeah-Musk’s much-lauded hyperloop technology doesn’t really exist but. But Musk’s declaration is simply the most recent too-good-to-be-true pledge from the tech world. Within the industry of innovation, unfulfilled guarantees have a protracted historical past.
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For many years, Silicon Valley has been imagining the future and pitching it to us as the definitive image of tomorrow. Musk himself is chargeable for quite a few outlandish guarantees-like his plan to beat extinction and produce a million people to Mars, or his talk of a suborbital spaceship that, by 2020, will make most places on Earth not more than 25 minutes away. Yet these titans are remarkably quiet in terms of part two of a sky-high promise: truly making it happen. In most industries, unachievable promises are an indication of unhealthy management. But in tech, the place companies are built on unimaginable ideas, unreasonable pledges are simply part of doing business. It’s even written into the Valley's unofficial motto: Fail fast, fail typically. But why do our best and brightest get away with overly optimistic claims that fail to materialize, time and time once more? To place this newest instance of hoopla into perspective, we’ve compiled a list of the daring guarantees on which we’re nonetheless waiting for Silicon Valley to ship.
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Promise: Junk mail getting you down? Fear not. "Two years from now, spam will probably be solved," Bill Gates assured members on the World Economics Forum. Just one downside: He made that promise in 2004. At the time, Gates had a number of ideas for the way to stamp out computer-aided mass mailers: a puzzle that would solely be solved by a human, a computational puzzle that solely a pc sending a small number of emails may handle, or hitting spam senders with a fee. Reality: Go ahead, check your inbox. Within the thirteen years since we were promised a spam-free life, different companies have stepped in and attempted to make good where Gates did not. Promise: In 2012, former Stanford computer science professor Sebastian Thrun assured the world that we were overdue for a higher education culling. After he attracted 100,000 college students to his experimental on-line course at Stanford, Thrun left that post to found the net schooling startup Udacity, where he sought to offer an affordable, excessive-high quality faculty education to anybody with an web connection.
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In 50 years, he informed WIRED, there can be only 10 establishments on the earth delivering higher education-and Udacity could possibly be one of them. Say goodbye to college loans: MOOCs (Massive Online Open Courses) have been the long run. Reality: MOOCs are nonetheless around, but they’re hardly dominating the higher schooling scene. The primary problem: MOOCs, which regularly associate with elite universities, rely closely on the prestige of the identical establishments that their proponents declare are antiquated. The supposed MOOC revolution has also didn't take into consideration the social benefits of attending college outside of your dwelling room. In 2015, the Daily Dot famous that solely 15 percent of enrolled college students accomplished their MOOC degrees, and that the vast majority of those enrolled already had school levels. Today, MOOCs are extra commonly seen as a complement to a conventional school education, fairly than a substitute. Promise: One yr after the Windows ninety five craze, Oracle launched the computer that was purported to unseat Microsoft. The Network Computer was a easy, relatively cheap machine that saved information online, eliminating the necessity for a large onerous drive. Oracle CEO Larry Ellison seen the no-frills Network Computer as step one in driving down the fee and complexity of family computers. "We assume these machines will dramatically outsell Windows in a brief time frame," Ellison advised the Mercury News at the time. Reality: Four years and $175 million dollars later, [Brain Health Support](https://bbs.yhmoli.com/space-uid-909694.html?do=profile) Health Pills Oracle known as it quits. From a enterprise perspective, the NC was an indisputable product failure. But from an business perspective, Ellison was onto one thing. As he predicted and as we now know, the market was finally flooded with cheaper, less complicated computers that chipped away at Microsoft’s monopoly. Promise: In December of 2001, Dean Kamen unveiled his masterpiece-the Segway-a mode of transportation that the inventor assured us was the following step in the transit revolution.
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